Finance and Banking

FDIC’s Bank Merger Review Overhaul to Have ‘Chilling’ Effect on Deal Activity

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.'s proposed changes for reviewing bank mergers are likely to further dampen banks' deal appetite and prolong regulatory reviews, S&P Global Market Intelligence reported. The agency codified what factors it intends to use to evaluate bank mergers and took steps to increase transparency for their reviews. A number of industry experts believe the changes create uncertainty, extend regulatory reviews, reduce bank M&A appetite and open up confidentiality risks. The proposal will have a particularly "chilling" effect on regional bank M&A as the regulator singled out deals resulting in banks with more than $100 billion in assets as warranting increased scrutiny, according to Raymond James managing director and Washington policy analyst Ed Mills. He said that the proposed changes once again indicate that federal regulators think that anything big is bad. The proposal could have a further-reaching impact and "trickle all the way down" to deals resulting in institutions with just $10 billion in assets. The proposal comes as U.S. bank deal activity is already extremely limited, with announcements in 2023 falling to their lowest yearly total since at least 2000. Activity has remained subdued this year, with just 27 announcements through March 26.
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U.S. Office Loan Payoff Rate Rises in First Two Months of 2024

The payoff rate on maturing U.S. office loans packaged in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) spiked in January and February from last year, according to a new report by Moody's Investors Service, Reuters reported. More than 55% of maturing office loans was paid off in January, while 25% was paid off in February. The combined 48% payoff rate for the two months marks a significant increase from the overall 2023 rate of 35%. The first two months of the year saw $1.15 billion of office debt packaged in CMBS reach their maturity dates. There are $17.4 billion in office loans maturing in the next 12 months. Moody's deemed roughly $13 billion of the amount, or three-quarters, as very difficult to refinance. Concerns swirled last year over the heavy office loan maturity wall in 2024, as persistent inflation and remote working have strained landlords' ability to make loan payments. While the payoff rate increased from last year, the figures should be taken with a grain of salt, Moody's noted. Only 30 such loans have matured since the year's start, while smaller loans amounting to less than $10 million had a higher payoff rate than larger debt loads. Most other property types' payoff rates have continued to fare better than office loans. All industrial real estate loans due by the end of February paid off, followed by 89% of multifamily loans and 61.8% of retail loans. Hotel loans fared the worst, with only 19.5% of loans due at February's end paying off.
 
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