Puerto Rico in Distress

ABI Analysis

The Obama administration released its Puerto Rico plan last week to give the entire Commonwealth of Puerto Rico the ability to file for chapter 9 bankruptcy to deal with its debt crisis.

Debt service will consume less than 17 percent of Puerto Rico’s consolidated budget this fiscal year, according to an op-ed in today’s Wall Street Journal. In the general-fund budget, which does not include government-owned corporations and agencies, debt service is below 16 percent. Neither number sounds like grounds for declaring bankruptcy.

Puerto Rico Government Development Bank’s disclosure of its available cash is leaving investors wondering if they’ll be paid on Dec. 1, Bloomberg News reported yesterday. The bank, which oversees the island’s borrowings, had $875 million of net liquidity as of Sept. 30, according to a posting Wednesday on the agency’s website.

A bond default by Puerto Rico won’t derail the $3.7 trillion municipal-bond market as the investor base for the commonwealth’s securities has shifted to hedge funds from individuals and mutual funds, according to Tom Metzold, a managing director at National Public Finance Guarantee, which insures some of the debt, Bloomberg News reported yesterday.